A prominent Islamic Scholar, Dr. Ahmad Abubakar Mahmud Gumi, has declared that Nigeria will disintegrate, and that the North will suffer most, compared to the other regions.
According to him, in the face of a possible break up, the South-West will be relatively stable, the South-East will be stable, but the North will be volatile.
Narrating what Nigeria will be like if disintegrated, the Cleric said: “I see chaos and probably Nigeria can even disintegrate. And disintegration will be bad for Nigeria”, he was quoted by Sun Newspaper.
“Let me tell you about the North, if there is disintegration. The worst thing any country will like is to have an unstable country as a neighbour.
“So, South-West will be relatively stable; South-East will be stable, but the North will be volatile. How can we contain boko haram in the North-East? No way.
How can we contain the problem of the herdsmen in the North? We cannot contain them.
“In fact, the little weight the South-West and South-East are adding to fight them, is what is suppressing them, but if you go and leave us with them, we will just eat ourselves, and you have a very volatile North, and I do not think we will have peace there, because the borders are not barbed-wires, and there are so many inter-marriages.
“In fact, Nigeria will just be like another Lebanon or Yemen. Nobody can control the North, because nobody has monopoly of power in the North.
“The herdsmen, if they have any iota of political acumen, even if they are evil; since your man is in power, what do you do? You lie low to allow him to have the power.
“You do not become so virulent that you end up destroying the Northern power by attacking people everywhere, not caring who is there. Let me tell you this.
“Nobody is in control of the North now. No Northern Politician has that clout to embrace everybody in the North.
“Everybody in the North is with his clique, and that is a very dangerous situation for the country. The South-West is divided into two equal houses, and nobody is in control there too, but generally, the people there are not violent.
“They can negotiate and stay in peace. The people of the South-East seem to understand each other, because their own is business. I see it to be more stable, even though the Kanu IPOB people are there, because generally the population there can understand and negotiate.
“They can only have population problem, if people ask them to go back to their region. But the North? So, you can just imagine.”